FANDOM


ATTC
ATLANTIC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19 ADVISORY 1
NWS #WIKI-HURRICANES/HURRICANE CENTER WIKI ATTC19-1
310 UTC FRI 15 OCT 2010

SATELLITE IMAGERY, MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND OBSERVATIONS FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTERS ALL AGREE THAT THERE IS A HEALTHY EYEWALL, AND EYE, FORMING RATHER RAPIDLY. HOT TOWERS APPEAR TO BE FORMING IN THE DEVELOPING EYEWALL, WITH THE TEMPERATURES NEAR AND ABOVE °C. DATA FROM RECON ALSO REVEALS THAT WINDS IN THE 100 - 105 MPH RANGE ARE BEING HELD WITHIN PAULA. THIS, COMBINED WITH ALL OF THER OTHER THINGS LISTED, IS ENOUGH FOR ME TO UPGRADE PAULA TO A STRONG CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE - 105 MPH. RESIDENTS LIVING IN WESTERN CUBA, AND ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF THE YUCATAN, NORTH OF BELIZE, NEED TO FINISH PREPARING, AS CONDITIONS WILL BE DETERIORATING THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A LITTLE MORE STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE A STEADY WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. PAULA SHOULD BE ABLE TO BRIEFLY ATTAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS, THE SIXTH OF THE SEASON. THE LONG-TERM FORECAST IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT, BUT RESIDENTS IN SOUTHERN FLORDA, INCLUDING THE KEYS, AND THE BAHAMAS, NEED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULA VERY CLOSELY.


BriefingEdit

Center location: 17.8N 85.5W Center confidence: ± 20 nm Wind: 35 kts (40 mph) Pressure: 1007 mb Shear: Moderate (10-20 knots) Structure: Spiral Bands


Watches and WarningsEdit

Hurricane warning: Hurricane watch: Tropical Storm warning: Tropical Storm watch:

Intensity ForecastEdit

Initial - 40 kts
12HR - 35 kts
24HR - 30 kts Post -tropical
36HR - N/A
48HR - N/A
60HR - N/A
72HR - N/A
84HR - N/A
96HR - N/A

$$ TA13

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