1030 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

Paula continues to strengthen. Paula has formed a strong outflow to it's north, and shows only minimal signs of shear. Despite it's strength, Paula has not formed an eye yet. Paula's intensity is again only from Dvorak estimates, and the National Hurricane Center. Paula is expected to continue its northwesterly track before just sliding past northern Belieze, or Cancun, Mexico. It should begin to turn away as it readies for a landfall in Cuba. Shear from the southeast should begin to affect Paula near the end of the forecast period.


Center location: 18.4N 85.8W
Center confidence: ± 40 nm
Wind: 70 kts (80 mph)
Pressure: 992 mb
Shear: Moderate northeasterly
Structure: Curved Banding

Watches and WarningsEdit

Hurricane warning: Belize City to Cancun
Hurricane watch: Puerto Barrios to Cancun
Tropical Storm warning: Toledo, Belize to Quintana Roo-Yucutan border
Tropical Storm watch: Toledo, Belize to Quintana Roo-Yucutan border

Intensity ForecastEdit

INITIAL 70 kts
12HR 75 kts
24HR 85 kts
36HR 90 kts Near Yucutan
48HR 85 kts
72HR 75 kts
96HR 65 kts
120HR 60 kts

$$ atomic7732 14:41, October 12, 2010 (UTC)

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