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ATTC
TROPICAL STORM PAULA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS #WIKI-HURRICANES/HURRICANE CENTER WIKI AL182010
830 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

Paula continues to strength out in the Western Caribbean. However, rapid intensification is not occuring like last night. Satellite Imagery shows a easily pin-pointed center somewhere in the immediate vicinty of 18.1N and 85.4W. Satellite Imagery also shows that the intense convection is spiraling around it, and the convection is strong. This, combined with many other factors I will not list, is enough to upgrade Hurricane Paula to 80 mph. There have been no changes to the watches or warnings at this time.

BriefingEdit

Center location: 18.1N 85.4W
Center confidence: ± 20 nm
Wind: 70 kts (80 mph)
Pressure: 991 mb
Shear: Moderate northeasterly
Structure: Curved Banding/Developing Eye/Eyewall

Watches and WarningsEdit

Hurricane warning: Belize City to Quintana Roo
Hurricane watch: Puerto Barrios to Cancun
Tropical Storm warning: Jamaica, Honduras-Nicaragua Border to Northern most tip of Yucutan
Tropical Storm watch: Jamaica, Honduras-Nicaragua Border to Northern most tip of Yucutan

Intensity ForecastEdit

INITIAL 70 kts
12HR 75 kts
24HR 80 kts
36HR 85 kts Near Yucutan
48HR 85 kts
72HR 70 kts
96HR 65 kts
120HR 60 kts

$$ TropicalAnalystwx13 02:30, October 12, 2010 (UTC)

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