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ATTC
ATLANTIC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
HURRICANE PAULA ADVISORY 11
NWS #WIKI-HURRICANES/HURRICANE CENTER WIKI ATTC18-11
0330 UTC WED 13 OCT 2010

Hurricane Paula continues to hold category 2 strength, but Dvorak estimates seem to show a decrease in wind speed due to strong shear from the south and southwest. Paula's structure has begun to deteriorate, and IR satellite imagery agrees that Paula has peaked intensity, and it is beginning the weakening phase. Paula has begun its turn to the east as it nears the Cuban coast.

BriefingEdit

Center location: 20.1N 85.9W
Center confidence: ± 20 nm
Minimum central pressure: 981 mb
Maximum sustained winds: 85 kts
Convection: Coldest cloud tops near -80°C Shear: Southerly 10-20 kts Structure: Curved banding, uniform CDO

Watches and WarningsEdit

Hurricane warning: Havana to Cayeria Las Cayamas
Hurricane watch: Puerto Barrios to Cancun
Tropical Storm warning: Toledo, Belize to Quintana Roo-Yucutan border
Tropical Storm watch: Toledo, Belize to Quintana Roo-Yucutan border

Intensity ForecastEdit

Initial - 75 kts
12HR -
24HR -
36HR -
48HR -
60HR -
72HR -
84HR -
96HR -

--FORECAST NOT VALID THIS ADVISORY--

$$ atomic7732 03:43, October 13, 2010 (UTC)

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